Thursday, February 10, 2011

Cambodian paper's commentary: Scenarios Confirming That War Is Bangkok's Meticulous Plan

Phnom Penh 9 February 2011 --  Reaksmei Kampuchea

The sound of big and small guns was loudly heard in the area of Preah Vihear temple in four battles between Cambodian and Thai troops.

Preah Vihear temple, a valuable property for the entire mankind, has been scorched by Thai artillery fire. Cambodian and Thai citizens died, were injured, and fearfully fled a war created by Bangkok because of the so-called "4.6-square-kilometer area." Political and economic reasons, however, seem to be behind the decision to cause bloodshed among its own people and also to people in neighboring countries.

The third and fourth gunfight pushed Samdech Decho Hun Sen to send a letter to the United Nations to convene an urgent meeting on the armed conflict between Cambodia and Thailand. The samdech referred to this conflict as a small-scale war which could get bigger if there were no timely solution. Cambodia pointed the finger at Thailand as the one starting this war, while Bangkok said Cambodia was the one pulling the trigger first.

Who was the warmonger in the recent fights? The overwhelming majority of people in Cambodia did not believe that Cambodia was the one starting this unnecessary fight, based on economic and military strength and other concrete situations. Nearly all 100 percent of Cambodian people thought that Thailand is tricky and the one pulling the trigger first. To make it clear, please consider the following scenarios.

This first scenario is the most likely. Thailand has for several years carried on in vain the campaign against Cambodia's registration of Preah Vihear temple. The World Heritage Committee did not pay attention to Thailand's opposition and threat because it based its decision on legal aspects and the universal value of Preah Vihear temple, a valuable property for the entire mankind, even though the temple is in Cambodian territory.

Abhisit again and again said that he opposed this registration saying that it could cause war between the two neighboring countries. Thailand continues to oppose Cambodia submitting alone the plan to develop Preah Vihear temple and demands joint submission. To put it another way, Thailand is asking Cambodia to share the cake (economic benefits) resulting from the development plan.

In the coming month of June in Bahrain, the World Heritage Committee will decide on the plan to develop the area around Cambodia's Preah Vihear temple which Thailand has been opposing. Thus, it is most likely that Bangkok waging war this time is to put the last pressure with an international character against UNESCO. After starting the four battles, Abhisit said that there will certainly be war because of UNESCO's past decisions. Therefore, UNESCO has to reject Cambodia's development plan in the coming month of June. The Bangkok government itself created war and told others that there is war now. Bangkok is playing the theatrical roles of both the ogre and the hero.

If, in a bad incident, UNESCO agreed with Thailand by indeed not deciding on Cambodia's development plan, this would be a danger for the whole world. That would be capitulating to war pressure rather than promoting justice and the principle of law. This would be dangerous for the entire world with people getting the idea that the use of force is a means to successfully resolve problems. This first scenario is the last breath of the Bangkok to ask for cake sharing from Cambodia.

The second scenario. Bangkok wages war against Cambodia and strives to use it to keep power in the face of threat by the yellow-shirt group, who is calling for Bangkok to wage war to claim the 4.6-square-kilometer land. If this were indeed the reason, this would be dangerous for Thailand in the future. The image of leading a country through crowd will take root in this country; Abhisit wanting t o appease the yellow-shirt group saying that he has agreed to the group's demand; so, please stop nurturing the demand to depose the government.

In this scenario, Abhisit knew that waging war was wrong but power has rendered him blind and no longer be able to distinguish between right and wrong. If this were indeed the correct scenario, Abhisit would be too malleable in his competence to lead the country; this could bring great disaster to Thailand in the future. The principle of law and democracy no longer exist when all Thais think that revolt is an effective means for their cause.

The third scenario: The Bangkok government and the yellow-shirt group are working together to plan a war to dupe the world: the yellow-shirt group creating pressure and the Bangkok government waging a war it wanted the world to believe that this was a demand by the Thai people in general. The yellow-shirt group and the Abhisit government work together to create havoc among the Thai people, the Cambodian people, and the world leading to the belief that in this war Thailand is supported by the Thai people in general.

The fact is the opposite. Reaction against this war is widespread in Thailand. Most Thais are peace-loving people who also want to live peacefully like other ethnic groups.

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